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‘These numbers look awful for the SNP – and Plaid!’

Revelations of how the latest polling figures look increasingly dreadful for the Scottish National Party (SNP), and that Plaid Cymru (Plaid) should take notice, throw the spotlight on why political stories have always been central for our Editor, Welshman Phil Parry. 

Previously Phil has described how he was helped to break into the South Wales Echo office car when he was a cub reporter, recalled his early career as a journalist, the importance of experience in the job, and made clear that the ‘calls’ to emergency services as well as court cases are central to any media operation.

He has also explored how poorly paid most journalism is when trainee reporters had to live in squalid flats, the vital role of expenses, and about one of his most important stories on the now-scrapped 53 year-old BBC Cymru Wales (BBC CW) TV Current Affairs series, Week In Week Out (WIWO), which won an award even after it was axed, long after his career really took off.

Phil has explained too how crucial it is actually to speak to people, the virtue of speed as well as accuracy, why knowledge of ‘history’ is vital, how certain material was removed from TV Current Affairs programmes when secret cameras had to be used, and some of those he has interviewed.

Earlier he disclosed why investigative journalism is needed now more than ever although others have different opinions, and how information from trusted sources is crucial.

 

“Wake up and smell the coffee”, used to be a trendy phrase several years ago (although still to be heard today). Perhaps it should be brought back again, and applied to Plaid Cymru (Plaid) after the latest terrible polling figures were released for its fellow nationalist group, the Scottish National Party (SNP), which has been engulfed by an extraordinary storm of controversies, and has found itself at the centre of a high-profile police alleged fraud investigation.

In a poll conducted by the Scottish Election Study (SES), it has been revealed that Labour recorded their first lead at Westminster over the SNP in Scotland in almost a decade. The survey found that 38 per cent of voters would back Labour at the next General Election (GE), compared to 32 per cent for the SNP – the party’s first lead since 2014.

In another recent poll for YouGov/Times the SNP were ahead, but Labour were hot on their heels. In terms of Westminster voting intention, the SNP led Labour by just four points, at 36 per cent versus 32 per cent. This represented the lowest SNP vote share since 2018, while for Labour it was their best result since the 2014 independence referendum. The SNP also LOST the Scottish by-election (Rutherglen and Hamilton West), which Labour won with a swing from the nationalists of 20.4 per cent.

Nicola Sturgeon’s travel was upgraded

This all might have something to do with the fact that the SNP have had to confront a slew of bad headlines recently.

Journalistic research has disclosed how public money was used by the SNP, to upgrade travel arrangements for then leader Nicola Sturgeon, pay for a party member’s theory driving test, fund yoga classes, and buy multiple copies of books, including a collection of her speeches. The spree included almost £10,000 on VIP airport upgrades, and more than £32,000 on team-building exercises.

Controversy cannot be removed from the SNP as easily as the luxury camper van which was seized by the police during their investigation

Apart from the yoga classes, driving test and books, other purchases by senior staff included nail polish, and £4,182 for hospitality, as well as accommodation at the five-star Gleneagles Hotel in Perthshire. Taxpayer money also went on wellington boots “for inspections”, and China crockery for a meeting room.

In all, £14.2 million of taxpayers’ cash was spent by Scottish civil servants in three years.

There have been choppy waters for the SNP

Meanwhile, the ferry system in Scotland appears to have been appallingly badly managed, and given that around 90 inhabited islands rely on ferries this reflects poorly on the SNP’s record in government.

As The Economist has put it: “The SNP’s nationalism has at times eclipsed its competence…polls suggest a mauling for the SNP at the next British general election. The ferry saga has not helped the case for independence-indeed, it makes it likely that voters will toss the SNP overboard”.

It was no smiling matter for Angus MacNeil to be suspended by his party

This has all come as the SNP was forced to expel one of ITS OWN MPs! Angus MacNeil was suspended from its Westminster group last month. The Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) MP had been suspended after reportedly clashing with party chief whip Brendan O’Hara. He was kicked out after a breach of their ‘code of conduct’. Mr MacNeil said he would stand as an independent candidate at the next GE.

The backdrop is incredible, because it follows an astonishing police inquiry, after allegations of fraud, and an unbelievable leadership election campaign, in which a leading contender said that in line with her religious beliefs she opposed gay marriage. Worrying details about the leadership election would have been enough to sink most parties, and as Sky News described it: “The contest has been bitter and fractious with the candidates, two of whom are serving cabinet ministers, trashing and attacking their own government’s record”.

There’s a lot to think about for Humza Yousaf and the SNP

The winner was the Scottish health secretary Humza Yousaf, but it is doubtful he will set alight the cause of independence, and has been described in The Times as a “lightweight”, and a “complete chancer”. Mr Yousaf (or Yusaf or Yusuf), has been dogged by controversy in the past, and there have been accusations that he ‘blatantly manufactured anti-SNP narrative’. In The Sunday Times (ST), he was called a “serially unsuccessful cabinet minister”.

Kate Forbes’ religious beliefs on marriage made her an unlikely leadership contender in the SNP race

The campaign of the Scottish cabinet secretary for finance, Kate Forbes, all but imploded, after she said she opposed gay marriage. On children born out of wedlock she proclaimed: “That’s choices they (the parents presumably!) have made”. Ms Forbes is a member of the Free Church of Scotland, and takes the Church’s teachings on these matters very seriously, but was still described in an ST headline as a “leadership favourite”. She also had support in some of the other churches north of the border: The Free Presbyterian Church of Scotland, The Free Church of Scotland (Continuing), The United Free Church of Scotland, The Reformed Presbyterian Church of Scotland and The Associated Presbyterian Churches.

The SNP with Nicola Sturgeon at the helm, once bestrode the political stage in Scotland like a colossus

The SNP had been turned into a highly-successful, centralised, election-winning machine under Ms Sturgeon, before things changed totally. Members were prepared to accept her iron discipline (she was elected as leader unopposed in 2014, and the recent competition to take over was the party’s first contested election since 2004) as long as she kept winning, but the simmering underlying tensions have now burst fully into view, and this could be another lesson for Plaid. It is obvious the SNP is in COMPLETE turmoil, damaging hugely the cause of independence, and this, too, is something Plaid must confront.

Let’s look again at what journalists, and in particular The Economist, say of the situation today: A revolution is tearing through the Scottish National Party (snp), which has governed Scotland since 2007. The extent of the party’s disarray is stunning…The scale of preference falsification during the leadership of Nicola Sturgeon is now on full display…”.

Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell in happier times…

The party’s Chief Executive Peter Murrell, who is married to Ms Sturgeon, was forced to resign in the face of a no-confidence vote, and the membership of the SNP fell by 30,000 in just OVER A YEAR! Meanwhile, the police looked into how party funds were used. Mr Murrell had been accused of undermining the leadership contest to replace his wife as party chief and Scottish First Minister (SFM), following a damaging secrecy row.

Murray Foote – ‘drivel’

This came in the wake of the SNP’s head of communications also quitting after it emerged he had inadvertently provided bogus membership numbers to a journalist. Murray Foote was told to deny reports the party had lost those thousands of members branding them “inaccurate” and “drivel”.

The astounding events were described as a “crisis” in the ST, and amid all of this, a poll showed that support for independence had plunged to 39 per cent.

Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar celebrated the by-election victory

The beneficiaries in Scotland seem to be the SNP’s fierce rivals, Labour, according to the polls as well as judging by their triumph in Rutherglen and Hamilton West, and they once held sway north of the border. In 2010 the party had 41 of Scotland’s current 59 seats in Westminster. After the independence referendum in 2014, Labour haemorrhaged support, and in 2019 they were all but wiped out, managing to hold just one seat.

The by-election vote was triggered two years ago, when Margaret Ferrier, a former SNP MP, took a train from London to Glasgow even though she had tested positive for Covid-19.

‘Leave me alone, and let me think about Bonnie Prince Charlie and those polls for independence’

The amazing spectacle we have witnessed, reflects the fact that the SNP (like Plaid), is the broadest of broad churches. Their membership ranges from dotty dreamers obsessed with Bonnie Prince Charlie, and anti-Englishness (who hold socially conservative views), to liberals (like Ms Sturgeon) who support gay marriage, and accept gender re-alignment.

Take out the bits about ‘Bonnie Prince Charlie’, as well as ‘Ms Sturgeon’, and this could apply equally well to Plaid.

Plaid Cymru and the SNP share similarities

I have had a conversation with a long-standing Plaid supporter, who is deeply against homosexuality, and even believes that lesbianism DOESN’T ACTUALLY EXIST!!

He represents a section of his party which is on the left economically (possessing a strong belief in nationalisation), but is extremely conservative socially.

Unlike for its fellow party (the SNP), devolution did not galvanise the cause of independence in Wales, and Plaid have never properly broken out of their language strongholds in the West and the North West, into the South Wales valleys at the level of the Welsh Assembly (WA)/Welsh Parliament (WP)/Senedd Cymru (SC), (the party can only point to a couple of examples, but it YEARNS to do so!). 

Plaid Cymru may appear relentlessly upbeat, but all is not well…

It is the job of the Plaid leader Rhun ap Iorwerth, MS, to hold the two wings of his fractious party together. But uniting around a form of independence may not be enough for them – these two views within Mr ap Iorwerth’s party are simply too far apart.

Perhaps he needs to “Wake up and smell the coffee”

 

Phil’s memories of his staggering decades long award-winning career in journalism (which has included numerous political stories), as he was gripped by the rare neurological disabling condition Hereditary Spastic Paraplegia (HSP), have been released in a major book ‘A GOOD STORY’. Order the book now!

‘BUY MY BOOK!’

Regrettably publication of another book, however, was refused, because it was to have included names.